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Thursday, July 9, 2015

Home Run Derby 2015: who picked these guys?

The eight participants and their 2015 team and HR:
Albert Pujols LAA 26
Todd Frazier CIN 25
Josh Donaldson TOR 21
Joc Pederson LAD 20 rookie
Manny Machado BAL 19
Anthony Rizzo CHC 16
Prince Fielder TEX 13
Kris Bryant CHC 12 rookie


Albert Pujols April 14, 2012 by Marianne O'Leary via Wikimedia Commons
Good for Albert Pujols for participating.  He's by far the oldest (35) participant and already has Hall of Fame stats.  The HR derby seems to be limited to players on the 2015 All Star rosters.  That's a big mistake, especially since it's the only significant non-game event, which is only a bunch of guys hitting tee shots.  The NBA has slam dunk, three point shooting, skills (dribbling, passing, etc.), plus other stuff.

I understand that established players do not want to participate and the league wants to promote its younger players like Machado, Pederson, Bryant. But maybe some of these guys should have been invited:

From 2005 to 2015, (requiring HR>=50), sorted by greatest Home Runs:
Rk Player HR Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B RBI BB IBB SO HBP SH SF GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS Pos
1 Ryan Howard 58 2006 26 PHI NL 159 704 581 104 182 25 1 149 108 37 181 9 0 6 7 0 0 .313 .425 .659 1.084 *3/H
2 Jose Bautista 54 2010 29 TOR AL 161 683 569 109 148 35 3 124 100 2 116 10 0 4 10 9 2 .260 .378 .617 .995 *95/3D8
3 Alex Rodriguez 54 2007 31 NYY AL 158 708 583 143 183 31 0 156 95 11 120 21 0 9 15 24 4 .314 .422 .645 1.067 *5/D
4 David Ortiz 54 2006 30 BOS AL 151 686 558 115 160 29 2 137 119 23 117 4 0 5 12 1 0 .287 .413 .636 1.049 *D3/H
5 Chris Davis 53 2013 27 BAL AL 160 673 584 103 167 42 1 138 72 12 199 10 0 7 4 4 1 .286 .370 .634 1.004 *3/D
6 Andruw Jones 51 2005 28 ATL NL 160 672 586 95 154 24 3 128 64 13 112 15 0 7 19 5 3 .263 .347 .575 .922 *8/H
7 Prince Fielder 50 2007 23 MIL NL 158 681 573 109 165 35 2 119 90 21 121 14 0 4 9 2 2 .288 .395 .618 1.013 *3/DH
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 7/9/2015.

Jones is retired and Howard is a shadow of his former self but the other guys can still hit homers.  Prince Fielder is the only recent 50 HR hitter in the 2015 HR Derby.

How about some other active recent HR champs who are not injured: Nelson Cruz, Pedro Alvarez, Paul Goldschmidt, Ryan BraunMatt Kemp, Mark Teixeira?

Here are the top 10 in 2015:
Home Runs
1.Stanton (MIA)27
2.Pujols (LAA)26
3.Frazier (CIN)25
Harper (WSN)25
5.Trout (LAA)24
J.D. Martinez (DET)24
Arenado (COL)24
8.Teixeira (NYY)22
9.Cruz (SEA)21
Donaldson (TOR)21

Stanton is injured and Pujols, Frazier and Donaldson are in the derby.  Teixeira and Cruz have already been mentioned. But what about the others, especially Bryce Harper and Mike Trout?

Finally, let's look at the top ten career active:
Cabrera and Beltran are injured.  The 800 pound gorilla in all this is Alex Rodriguez who was not selected for the All Star team.  Rodriguez was suspended for the entire 2014 season for using performance enhancing drugs (PED).  On the other hand, ...

Is that old black magic (PED) back? Home run leaders way up. Friday, July 3, 2015

No more than half way through 2015 ten players are on pace to hit at least 40 home runs.  In 2014 only one player hit 40: Nelson Cruz.  Stanton is injured but four others have a shot at 50.

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Maybe Barry Bonds should be invited.  He could probably still hit meatball pitches out of the park.

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