About Me

My photo

Nice guy.  Have some blogs.  Do baseball research.

Saturday, August 22, 2015

Oakland Pythag: minus 9 in 2015, minus 11 in 2014.

What the heck?  Two years in a row?

Should Oakland have fired the manager and kept its best player, Josh Donaldson? Tuesday, December 2, 2014

The 2014 Oakland Athletics finished ten games behind the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, right, 88 wins to 98?

Athletics Pythagorean W-L: 99-63
Angels Pythagorean W-L: 96-66

At a minimum the Athletics and Angels were much closer than ten games.  The eleven game gap between expected and actual Oakland wins was by far the biggest deficit of any 2014 tournament team.  Such a gap usually suggests bad luck and/or bad managing.  Either way you would stay with your players...

When faced with the choice of firing a manager or eliminating a top player, how often does a team eliminate the player? ...

The lesson I learned: never trade a somebody for a bunch of nobodies.  Josh Donaldson was somebody in Oakland.  And who was the manager and who will remember the manager's name in two years?  Billy Beane, I guess.

______________________

In 2013 Oakland was even: wins and Pythag both 96.

2012: plus 2.

Same manager 2012-2015: Bob Melvin.

No comments: