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Friday, January 1, 2016

Mantle doubles v. League: data and graphs.

Mickey Mantle: trying to make sense of the three previous posts addressing whether Mantle hit an average amount of doubles or less than average using two methods:

2B/BIP (balls in play)
2B/Hits

BIP = AB - SO - HR + SF


Mantle:
Year1B/BIP2B/BIP3B/BIPYear1B/H2B/H3B/HHR/H
195124.41%4.33%1.97%195168.13%12.09%5.49%14.29%
195225.06%8.92%1.69%195260.82%21.64%4.09%13.45%
195325.14%6.86%0.86%195364.71%17.65%2.21%15.44%
195425.91%4.12%2.91%195465.64%10.43%7.36%16.56%
195522.02%6.48%2.85%195553.80%15.82%6.96%23.42%
195628.24%5.70%1.30%195657.98%11.70%2.66%27.66%
195728.53%7.61%1.63%195760.69%16.18%3.47%19.65%
195826.18%5.85%0.28%195859.49%13.29%0.63%26.58%
195924.87%5.96%1.04%195962.34%14.94%2.60%20.13%
196022.34%4.63%1.63%196056.55%11.72%4.14%27.59%
196124.65%4.53%1.70%196153.37%9.82%3.68%33.13%
196227.68%5.54%0.37%196261.98%12.40%0.83%24.79%
196324.60%6.35%0.00%196357.41%14.81%0.00%27.78%
196423.87%7.55%0.60%196456.03%17.73%1.42%24.82%
196522.47%4.49%0.37%196565.22%13.04%1.09%20.65%
196625.32%5.06%0.42%196662.50%12.50%1.04%23.96%
196722.26%5.48%0.00%196763.89%15.74%0.00%20.37%
196821.60%4.32%0.31%196867.96%13.59%0.97%17.48%
Year1B/BIP2B/BIP3B/BIPYear1B/H2B/H3B/HHR/H
Min21.60%4.12%0.00%Min53.37%9.82%0.00%13.45%
Max28.53%8.92%2.91%Max68.13%21.64%7.36%33.13%
Ave24.73%5.77%1.11%Ave61.03%14.17%2.70%22.10%




American League (AL), including pitchers:
Year1B/BIP2B/BIP3B/BIPYear1B/H2B/H3B/HHR/H
195121.87%4.97%0.94%195172.76%16.54%3.14%7.56%
195221.55%4.72%0.93%195273.35%16.05%3.17%7.43%
195322.12%4.97%0.91%195372.78%16.34%2.98%7.91%
195421.80%4.51%1.06%195473.55%15.22%3.59%7.64%
195522.13%4.39%0.94%195573.40%14.57%3.13%8.90%
195622.08%4.74%1.00%195671.58%15.36%3.23%9.83%
195721.71%4.68%0.86%195772.03%15.54%2.87%9.57%
195821.84%4.65%0.83%195871.97%15.32%2.74%9.98%
195921.57%4.81%0.76%195971.30%15.91%2.51%10.27%
196021.67%4.90%0.78%196071.19%16.09%2.56%10.16%
196121.70%4.89%0.89%196170.34%15.86%2.88%10.93%
196221.67%4.91%0.88%196270.22%15.91%2.84%11.03%
196321.61%4.73%0.79%196370.94%15.53%2.59%10.94%
196421.90%4.79%0.76%196470.72%15.47%2.44%11.37%
196521.36%4.75%0.83%196571.03%15.79%2.77%10.41%
196621.12%4.64%0.94%196670.83%15.54%3.14%10.50%
196721.33%4.49%0.84%196772.50%15.27%2.86%9.38%
196820.87%4.32%0.78%196873.17%15.16%2.73%8.93%
Min21.12%4.39%0.76%Min70.22%14.57%2.44%7.43%
Max22.13%4.97%1.06%Max73.55%16.54%3.59%11.37%
Ave21.71%4.74%0.88%Ave71.79%15.66%2.91%9.64%

Techie note: The Google Docs software I used would not graph the triples (3B) data for the league.


Mickey Mantle (MM) v. American League (AL):
2B/BIP2B/BIP2B/H2B/H
YearMMALYearMMAL
19514.33%4.97%195112.09%16.54%
19528.92%4.72%195221.64%16.05%
19536.86%4.97%195317.65%16.34%
19544.12%4.51%195410.43%15.22%
19556.48%4.39%195515.82%14.57%
19565.70%4.74%195611.70%15.36%
19577.61%4.68%195716.18%15.54%
19585.85%4.65%195813.29%15.32%
19595.96%4.81%195914.94%15.91%
19604.63%4.90%196011.72%16.09%
19614.53%4.89%19619.82%15.86%
19625.54%4.91%196212.40%15.91%
19636.35%4.73%196314.81%15.53%
19647.55%4.79%196417.73%15.47%
19654.49%4.75%196513.04%15.79%
19665.06%4.64%196612.50%15.54%
19675.48%4.49%196715.74%15.27%
19684.32%4.32%196813.59%15.16%
Min4.12%4.32%Min9.82%14.57%
Max8.92%4.97%Max21.64%16.54%
Ave5.77%4.71%Ave14.17%15.64%




The method I prefer (2B/H) and have been using for years for this kind of thing shows Mantle with below average rates for doubles compared to the league.  One reason I like it is that it resolves differences in rates of hits.  For instance, when comparing Mantle to other sluggers, Mantle will often have a higher batting average, even though Mantle struck out more than almost all the other sluggers, so his percent of doubles per BIP would tend to be higher than the other slugger for that reason, especially with all those Mantle strike outs subtracted.  While this post directly addressed Mantle v. AL, I prefer to compare sluggers to sluggers as was done in previous posts dealing with players with at least 350 home runs.

***   The End   ***

1 comment:

Cliff Blau said...

Using doubles per hit makes it look like he was below average in doubles simply because he was way above average in home runs. Clearly he was above average in hitting doubles, just not as far above average as he was in hitting home runs.