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Monday, August 1, 2016

fangraphs rank of Brian Cashman's Magnificent Seven minor league players acquired for Chapman and Miller.

This is based on the fangraphs ranking of the top 100 minor league players for their projected first six years major league seasons. Here are the eight players the Yankees received for their two relief aces. Adam Warren is the only major league player received and is not included in the fangraphs ranking. Only two of the Magnificent Seven show up in the first top 100 group and their six year projections are for an annual average of less than one Win Above Replacement (WAR). Number one ranked on both lists Alex Bregman of Houston has 17.1 and 17.7 total WAR, almost three WAR per year.

RankRank
Aroldis ChapmanKOTAHKOTAHKOTAH+KOTAH+
Adam Warrenxxxxxxxxxxxx
Gleyber Torres5.642
Billy McKinney
Rashad Crawford
Andrew Miller
Clint Frazier4.773
J.P. Feyereisen
Justus Sheffield
Ben Heller

An Improved KATOH Top-100 List
by Chris Mitchell - July 25, 2016 fangraphs.com


Added Features

Choosing projection window based on level, rather than age ...

Accounting for defensive performance, not just position ...

Somewhat surprisingly, the defensive metrics don’t add a ton of predictive value ...

Incorporating Baseball America top-100 lists

two parallel KATOHs: one that incorporates top-100 ranking and one that doesn’t... call the scouting-infused version “KATOH+” and will leave the original moniker to the one that excludes the BA (Baseball America) rankings...

all players with at least 200 plate appearances or batters faced (plus Jose De Leon, since I know someone would ask)... each player’s projected WAR over his first six seasons in the major leagues ...

First, the version that considers stats only, and not prospect rankings
KATOH Top 100

This next list incorporates stats, as well as rankings from Baseball America’s Midseason Top 100.
KATOH+ Top 100

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A Primer on a New and Improved KATOH
by Chris Mitchell - November 25, 2015

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