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Sunday, November 6, 2016

Is Aaron Judge Jay Buhner? 40 HR three times, 125 OPS+?

Is Kyle Schwarber Ken Phelps? Can't hit lefties and no fielding position. Friday, November 4, 2016

Jay Buhner, righty batter:
Yankees: 32 games, 99 PA, 3 HR, 58 OPS+
Seattle 14 years: 1,440 games, 5,828 PA, 307 Home Runs (including 1995, 1996, 1997: 40, 44, 40), 125 OPS+

Ken Phelps, ten years older than Buhner: 17 Home Runs in 292 At Bats with the Yankees second half 1988, first half 1989. Lefty batter
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A month after being traded to Seattle Buhner turned 24, same age as Aaron Judge in 2016 when the Yankees abruptly abandoned their efforts to qualify for the tournament in order to provide an extra couple of weeks of major league experience to minor league prospects Aaron Judge and Tyler Austin in mid August. Catcher Gary Sanchez had already been called up a couple of weeks earlier. Sanchez hit 20 HR in 201 AB; 168 OPS+.

Aaron Judge:

Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB Pos Awards
2016 24 NYY AL 27 95 84 10 15 2 0 4 10 0 1 9 42 .179 .263 .345 .608 61 29 2 1 0 1 0 9
1 Yr 27 95 84 10 15 2 0 4 10 0 1 9 42 .179 .263 .345 .608 61 29 2 1 0 1 0
162 Game Avg. 162 570 504 60 90 12 0 24 60 0 6 54 252 .179 .263 .345 .608 61 174 12 6 0 6 0
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/6/2016.

Note the similarity in Yankee experience and results between Judge and Buhner, except for Judge having 42 SO in 84 AB, which projects to 252 SO for a full season. Season SO record: Mark Reynolds 223 in 2009; Reynolds did hit 44 HR in 578 AB, 127 OPS+. Yanks would take that.

The Yankees are hoping that Aaron Judge is Jay Buhner, except, of course, the part about the Yankees trading Buhner for Ken Phelps.

Can you guess the subject of the next post?

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