Thursday, January 3, 2013

Home Run Proficiency 35 Home Runs.

Data through 2011.

Thursday, December 13, 2012
Home Run Proficiency relative to League.

(P-(L-P))/((L-P)
In this equation each letter represents (HR/AB) for either the player or the league minus the player.  The result is the number of times the player's HR rate is better than all the other batters in that league that season.
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Read that post for the method and background.  The original criteria: HR >= 35 and (AB/HR) < 12.  That produced 116 seasons.  Removing (AB/HR) < 12  produced 605 seasons.

In the data provided the column X represents the equation described above.  Click link to view the data.

50 HR:

50 HR have been hit 42 times.  Ruth has the top four X ratings, including three in which his HR hitting was ten times more proficient that all the other batters in his league that season.

14 of 42 X >3;

10 of 42 X < 2

Those who set and held the season HR record at the end of a season:
Babe Ruth 1920 14.5782 1
Babe Ruth 1927 11.1891 2
Babe Ruth 1921 10.0537 3

Mark McGwire 1998 3.8611 8
Barry Bonds 2001 3.6676 10
Roger Maris 1961 2.8123 19

Lowest:
Brady Anderson 1996 1.5185 50
Sammy Sosa 2000 1.4691 50
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35 HR

16 of 605 X >5
29 of 605 X >4
69 of 605 X >3
198 of 605 X >2
551 of 605 X >1

Lowest:
Garret Anderson 2000 0.5884
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35 HR after 1994

285 of 605 35 HR seasons occurred after 1994.  47%.

3 of 285 X >3:
McGwire 1998 3.8610
Bonds 2001 3.6676
McGwire 1995 3.0066

53 of 285 X < 1
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35 HR before 1994

320 of 605 35 HR seasons occurred before 1994.  53%.

66 of 320 X >3

Only one batter had X less than 1:
Don Mattingly 1985 0.919
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35 HR 1946-1994

258 of 605 35 HR seasons occurred between 1946 through 1994.  43%.

18 of 258 X >3

Top ten:

qryBattingHRratePL
First Last Year X
Hank Greenberg 1946 4.76283723748615
Ted Williams 1946 4.01581727879536
Mike Schmidt 1980 3.81744495006566
Dave Kingman 1976 3.74012987624112
Ralph Kiner 1949 3.70724400364712
Hank Aaron 1971 3.6625049291716
Willie Stargell 1971 3.61494895911289
Ralph Kiner 1947 3.52613851942133
Hank Aaron 1973 3.43945127719962
Willie McCovey 1968 3.37878635403039

Hank Aaron has ranks 6 and 9 at ages 37 and 39.

Roger Maris is number 29 of 258: 2.8 more proficient than all other AL batters in 1961 when Maris set the home run record with 61.
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35 HR before 1946

62 of 605 35 HR seasons occurred before 1946.  10.2%.

48 of 62 X >3.

Only one below 2:
Babe Herman 1930 1.866

Top ten:

qryBattingHRratePL
First Last Year X
Babe Ruth 1920 14.5782432010003
Babe Ruth 1927 11.1890941072999
Babe Ruth 1921 10.053743576112
Babe Ruth 1926 9.39331779331779
Babe Ruth 1924 9.34336677814939
Babe Ruth 1928 8.76487318651498
Lou Gehrig 1927 7.52692112804026
Babe Ruth 1923 7.13763484010281
Babe Ruth 1922 6.36717100633357
Babe Ruth 1931 6.01100982262738

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