In 2014 will a Yankee hit at least 30 home runs? It's happened in 66% of Yankee seasons since 1920.

Since Babe Ruth joined the team in 1920 30 different Yankee players have hit at least 30 home runs (HR) in a season 91 times.  The Yankees had batters with at least 30 HR in 62 of the 93 (66%) seasons from 1920 through 2013.

In 25 seasons the Yanks had at least two 30 HR batters.  In four seasons the Yanks had three 30 HR batters: 1941, 2003, 2004, 2005.

Last	First	Year	HR	AB	AB/HR	bats	throws
Keller	Charlie	1941	33	507	15.4	L	R
Henrich	Tommy	1941	31	538	17.4	L	L
DiMaggio	Joe	1941	30	541	18.0	R	R

Last	First	Year	HR	AB	AB/HR	bats	throws
Giambi	Jason	2003	41	535	13.0	L	R
Soriano	Alfonso	2003	38	682	17.9	R	R
Posada	Jorge	2003	30	481	16.0	B	R
Rodriguez	Alex	2004	36	601	16.7	R	R
Sheffield	Gary	2004	36	573	15.9	R	R
Matsui	Hideki	2004	31	584	18.8	L	R
Rodriguez	Alex	2005	48	605	12.6	R	R
Sheffield	Gary	2005	34	584	17.2	R	R
Giambi	Jason	2005	32	417	13.0	L	R

In 1961 Mickey Mantle (54) and Roger Maris (61) hit at least 50 HR, the only teammates to do it in the same season on any team.  Not even Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig did that.

In 2013 the Yankees had a lot of injuries and Robinson Cano led the team with only 27 HR; Alfonso Soriano was second with 17 in 219 at bats (AB).

In 2014 will a Yankee hit at least 30 home runs?

Cano and Curtis Granderson are gone.  Alex Rodriguez is suspended for the season.  But Mark Teixeira is returning from a wrist injury.  Candidates with previous seasons of at least 30:

Mark Teixeira: 43, 39 Yanks, 39 Yanks, 38, 33 Yanks, 33, 33, 30; 8 times, including three as a Yank, which included leading the American Conference in 2009; most recently in 2011

Alfonso Soriano: 46 Nationals record, 39 Yanks, 38 Yanks, 36, 34 (Yanks/Cubs), 32; 5 times, including two as a Yank; most recently in 2013

Newcomers:

Carlos Beltran: 41 Met record, 38, 33, 32; most recently in 2012; 37 year old April 24

Jacoby Ellsbury: 32 in 2011 with the Red Sox; second most: 9

Brian McCann: 24 in 2006 and 2011 with the Braves

Teixeira and Soriano look like the most likely.   McCann and Ellsbury are both lefty batters and may benefit from playing their home games in Yankee Stadium with its short right field.  Beltran is a switch hitter.

Yanks who hit at least 30 HR:

First	Last	count	high	First Year	Last Year
Babe	Ruth	13	60	1920	1933
Lou	Gehrig	10	49	1927	1937
Mickey	Mantle	9	54	1955	1964
Joe	DiMaggio	7	46	1937	1950
Alex	Rodriguez	7	54	2004	2010
Jason	Giambi	5	41	2002	2008
Charlie	Keller	3	33	1941	1946
Roger	Maris	3	61	1960	1962
Don	Mattingly	3	35	1985	1987
Mark	Teixeira	3	39	2009	2011
Yogi	Berra	2	30	1952	1956
Graig	Nettles	2	37	1976	1977
Reggie	Jackson	2	41	1977	1980
Dave	Winfield	2	37	1982	1983
Tino	Martinez	2	44	1997	2001
Alfonso	Soriano	2	39	2002	2003
Gary	Sheffield	2	36	2004	2005
Curtis	Granderson	2	43	2011	2012
Bob	Meusel	1	33	1925	1925
Joe	Gordon	1	30	1940	1940
Tommy	Henrich	1	31	1941	1941
Joe	Pepitone	1	31	1966	1966
Bobby	Murcer	1	33	1972	1972
Bobby	Bonds	1	32	1975	1975
Mike	Pagliarulo	1	32	1987	1987
Danny	Tartabull	1	31	1993	1993
Bernie	Williams	1	30	2000	2000
Jorge	Posada	1	30	2003	2003
Hideki	Matsui	1	31	2004	2004
Robinson	Cano	1	33	2012	2012

Jason Giambi 17 June 2006
by randomduck (flickr) via Wikimedia Commons

Ten of the 30 Yanks who hit at least 30 HR had Yankee highs at least 40:

Firstt	Last	Count	High	First Year	Last Year
Roger	Maris	3	61	1960	1962
Babe	Ruth	13	60	1920	1933
Alex	Rodriguez	7	54	2004	2010
Mickey	Mantle	9	54	1955	1964
Lou	Gehrig	10	49	1927	1937
Joe	DiMaggio	7	46	1937	1950
Tino	Martinez	2	44	1997	2001
Curtis	Granderson	2	43	2011	2012
Jason	Giambi	5	41	2002	2008
Reggie	Jackson	2	41	1977	1980