Wednesday, January 2, 2013

Home Run Proficiency 1961: a bad year for the Babe.

Rk Player HR Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B RBI BB IBB SO HBP SH SF GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS Pos
1 Roger Maris 61 1961 26 NYY AL 161 698 590 132 159 16 4 141 94 0 67 7 0 7 16 0 0 .269 .372 .620 .993 *98
2 Mickey Mantle 54 1961 29 NYY AL 153 646 514 131 163 16 6 128 126 9 112 0 1 5 2 12 1 .317 .448 .687 1.135 *8
3 Harmon Killebrew 46 1961 25 MIN AL 150 656 541 94 156 20 7 122 107 6 109 3 0 5 11 1 2 .288 .405 .606 1.012 *35/7
4 Orlando Cepeda 46 1961 23 SFG NL 152 637 585 105 182 28 4 142 39 11 91 9 0 3 21 12 8 .311 .362 .609 .970 *379
5 Jim Gentile 46 1961 27 BAL AL 148 601 486 96 147 25 2 141 96 5 106 11 0 8 12 1 1 .302 .423 .646 1.069 *3
6 Rocky Colavito 45 1961 27 DET AL 163 708 583 129 169 30 2 140 113 2 75 2 2 8 14 1 2 .290 .402 .580 .982 *79
7 Norm Cash 41 1961 26 DET AL 159 673 535 119 193 22 8 132 124 19 85 9 2 2 16 11 5 .361 .487 .662 1.148 *3
8 Willie Mays 40 1961 30 SFG NL 154 659 572 129 176 32 3 123 81 15 77 2 0 4 14 18 9 .308 .393 .584 .977 *8
9 Frank Robinson 37 1961 25 CIN NL 153 635 545 117 176 32 7 124 71 23 64 10 0 10 15 22 3 .323 .404 .611 1.015 *97/85
10 Joe Adcock 35 1961 33 MLN NL 152 629 562 77 160 20 0 108 59 4 94 2 4 2 22 2 1 .285 .354 .507 .861 *3
11 Dick Stuart 35 1961 28 PIT NL 138 576 532 83 160 28 8 117 34 1 121 4 1 5 22 0 3 .301 .344 .581 .925 *3/7
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 1/1/2013.

Eleven batters hit at least 35 home runs (HR) in 1961, eight hit at least 40.  Of those eight, six played the new 162 game schedule in the American League (AL) and two, both Giants, played the final 154 game schedule in the National League (NL).  This post will concentrate on the AL HR hitters but the others are included for context.  See these posts for some background.

Monday, December 10, 2012
40 HR per year: batter count / team count.

It contains a count of the number of batters who hit at least 40 home runs (HR) in a season and the number of American and National teams in that season.  The number of players is divided by the number of teams and represented as a percentage: the count of 40 HR batters relative to the number of teams...

A record was set in 1961 (44%) that was not broken until the current record was set in 1996 (61%).  The 1961 number was also exceeded in these seasons: 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000.  2001 was close: 40%.
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Thursday, December 13, 2012
Home Run Proficiency relative to League.

Criteria: HR >= 35 and (AB/HR) < 12.  That produced 116 seasons...

(P-(L-P))/((L-P)
In this equation each letter represents (HR/AB) for either the player or the league minus the player.  The result is the number of times the player's HR rate is better than all the other batters in that league that season.
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Click this link to see Home Run Proficiency data and graph.

Among the HR leaders only Mantle, Maris, Gentile and Killebrew, in that order, met the AB/HR < 12 criteria.  Here are all eleven with their 1961 HR proficiency rating.  Mantle and Maris were each about 2.8 times more proficient than all the other batters in 1961.

Name X
Mantle 2.8609
Maris 2.8123
Gentile 2.4615
Killebrew 2.1064
Cepeda 1.8405
Colavito 1.8159
Cash 1.7908
Mays 1.5139
Robinson 1.4358
Stuart 1.3571
Adcock 1.2297

Among those hitting 40 HR only Killebrew and Mays did not have career highs.  Mays exceeded 40 HR multiple times before and after 1961, including 51 in 1955 and 52 in 1965.  Killebrew exceeded 46 three times later in his career.

1961 was the only season in which these players reached 40 HR: Maris, Gentile, Cash and Cepeda.  Gentile, Cash and Cepeda reached their second highest in 1962: 33, 39 and 35 respectively.  Maris had hit 39 in 1960.

Gentile led the AL with 141 RBI.  Cash had 132 RBI.  1961 was the only 100 RBI season for each.

Cash led AL in batting average: .361.  Second highest: 1960 .286.

Colavito had tied Killebrew for most HR in 1959 with 42 and finished second to Mantle in 1958 with 41.  Six times he had at least 100 RBI but his 140 in 1961 was his best by 27.

However, only three of the eight, including Maris, had their best HR proficiency in 1961.  Here are their best such seasons and where 1961 ranks in their careers.

1961 rank
Mantle 1956 2.9553 2
Cash 1971 2.1297 3
Cepeda 1961 1.8405 1
Colavito 1958 2.3996 3
Gentile 1961 2.4615 1
Killebrew 1967 2.7416 6
Maris 1961 2.8123 1
Mays 1965 3.0352 9

1961 was a good year for home run hitting, especially for Roger Maris who broke the single season home run record of 60 set by Babe Ruth in 1927.  In the World Series that year Yankee southpaw Whitey Ford also broke Ruth's record for consecutive shutout innings pitched in the World Series.  Ford's response when this was mentioned to him: "It was a bad year for the Babe".

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