Friday, October 6, 2023

Strike Outs by 2023 rookie batters compared to Aaron Judge, rookie SO record holder.

Aaron Judge has the record for Strike Outs by rookie batters: 208 in 2017. However, Judge also set the record for rookie Home Runs: 52. Pete Alonso broke the rookie HR record with 53 in 2019; Alonso had 183 SO.

Here are the leaders in Strike Outs by rookie batters in 2023:

Three of these rookies have OPS+ lower than 100. They were below average batters: Volpe, Tovar and Doyle.

SOHRSO/HRYearOPS+
Aaron Judge208524.002017171
Aaron Judge175622.822022210
Aaron Judge130373.512023175
SOHRSO/HRYearOPS+
James Outman181237.872023112
Ryan Noda1711610.692023121
Anthony Volpe167217.95202381
Ezequiel Tovar1661511.07202377
Gunnar Henderson159285.682023125
Brenton Doyle1511015.10202352
Josh Jung151236.572023109
SOHRSO/HRYearOPS+

The ratio of SO to HR for Judge as a rookie was 4 to 1. Judge improved on that a lot in 2022 when he set an American League record of 62 HR.

Gunnar Henderson will likely be 2023 Rookie of the Year. But even his ratio is much higher than that of Judge as a rookie. Brenton Doyle's ratio of 15 SO to one HR is ridiculous. Playing center field Doyle had dWAR 2.2, which must be why Colorado put up with his oWAR -1.1.

Yankee shortstop Anthony Volpe was similar: dWAR 2.4, oWAR 1.7. Volpe's 21 HR were his only positive in the batter's box.

dWAR:
Volpe was third in AL
Doyle was fifth in NL.

Both Volpe and Doyle play key fielding position but if their batting does not improve, they will lose their starting positions and likely their spot on a MLB roster when their fielding slips.

Lots of SO must be offset by lots of HR.

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