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Nice guy.  Have some blogs.  Do baseball research.

Sunday, September 24, 2017

Aaron Judge: 200 SO, joins five others. No Joe DiMaggio he.

Yesterday 25 year old Yankee rookie Aaron Judge had one hit, a single, in four at bats with two strike outs (SO) bringing his season SO total to 201. Judge joins these five players who did it nine times:

1Chris Carter201620676114.321.49929MILNL160644549841222714194190101831.222.821*3/HD
2Chris Davis201621988110.332.45930BALAL1576655669912521038843803610.221.792*3/9D
3Chris Davis201520884147.361.56229BALAL160670573100150310471176805623.262.923*39D
4Chris Carter201321270112.320.45126HOUAL1485855066411324229821405820.223.77037D/H9
5Adam Dunn2012222105114.333.46832CHWAL1516495398711019041963104821.204.800*D3/7H
6Drew Stubbs20112056386.321.36426CINNL158681604921472231544176124010.243.686*8/H
7Mark Reynolds20102118397.320.43326ARINL145596499799917232857905874.198.753*5/3H
8Mark Reynolds200922376127.349.54325ARINL155662578981503014410235038249.260.892*53/H
9Mark Reynolds20082046496.320.45824ARINL152613539871292832897031610112.239.779*5/H3

They all led their league in SO as Judge currently leads. Judge also leads with 46 HR, 118 BB, 120 Runs. Judge has OPS+ 161, which is much higher than the 147 OPS+ for Chris Davis who has the most HR among the 200 SO batters: 47, which led the league in 2008. Chris Carter led in 2016 with 41 HR and 206 SO.

Judge has 519 at bats (AB). Only Dew Stubbs had at least 200 SO and more than 600 AB: 604. Stubbs had the lowest OPS+, only 86, and the fewest HR: 15. What the heck was his Reds manager Dusty Baker thinking? Stubbs had only 44 RBI. Playing CF Stubbs did have 1.8 WAR, which must have all been derived from his fielding.

Mark Reynolds is the only one with fewer than 500 AB: in 2010, 211 SO in 499 AB. That is truly amazing. In 2009 Reynolds set the record, which still stands, with 223 SO but Reynolds had OPS+ 127, second only to 147 for Chris Davis in 2015.

Adam Dunn led his league with 105 BB and also hit 41 HR; OPS+ 114.

Judge has these ratios:
SO/BB: 1.7
SO/HR: 4.4

Judge also tied Joe DiMaggio for third most HR by a Yankee righty batter. Alex Rodriguez hit 48 and 54. DiMaggio hit more than 39 HR only once, the 46 in 1937. That season in 621 AB DiMaggio had 37 SO and 64 BB for these ratios:

SO/BB: 0.58
SO/HR: 0.80

In 1941 DiMaggio had his famous 56 game hitting streak. And in 541 AB he also had his best full season numbers: 13 SO, 76 BB. DiMaggio hit 30 HR in 1941.

Saturday, September 23, 2017

Kill the Win rule requiring a starting pitcher go 5 innings.

Was that scoring rule created 100 years ago to prevent a starting pitcher from leaving early with a big lead and having a relief pitcher throw more innings and not get the win? If so, that reasoning has long since been turned around.

I've recently been criticizing Yankee manager Joe Girardi once again for removing his starting pitchers before they complete five innings and in several cases depriving them of wins. See the most recent post and work your way back:

Joe Girardi backtracked: kept starters Sabathia and Garcia in game past five innings. Friday, September 22, 2017

In the overwhelming majority of games there will be a parade of relief pitchers, each of whom will almost always pitch fewer innings than the starter. The starter will usually throw at least twice as many innings as any of those who relieved him. How is it fair that only the starter must pitch a minimum number of innings to qualify for the win?

At least modify the scoring rule. How about reducing the minimum for a starter to qualify to four innings. That might actually provide enough improvement to eliminate most of the tension that now exists between a manager and his starting pitchers.

The operative phrase now is to "kill the win", i.e., if not actually eliminate wins and losses for individual pitchers, then at least don't take them very seriously. I'm OK with that but if wins are to be awarded, how about adding more common sense?

Friday, September 22, 2017

Joe Girardi backtracked: kept starters Sabathia and Garcia in game past five innings.

The contrast could not be more obvious between what the Yankee manager did and then didn't do in the very next starts of two of his pitchers whom he had mistreated.

Joe Girardi should have been defied by his starting pitchers in 2 of last 3 games when he cost them wins. Thursday, September 14, 2017

Joe Girardi, manager of the New York Yankees (78-66), removed starting pitchers CC Sabathia and Jaime Garcia in the 5th inning with the Yankees leading, thus costing them the opportunity to be the winning pitcher. Starters must go at least five innings to get a win. Relief pitchers can get a win by simply showing up. In both cases a relief pitcher got a win handed to him on a silver platter after the starter pitched by far the most innings of any Yankee pitchers in those games.

Yeah, I know, kill the win. But the reality is that most baseball people still value the win awarded to a pitcher each game. Starting pitchers desperately want that win no matter what they say to not seem selfish.

Against Minnesota, the team closest to the Yankees in the wild card race:

Monday, September 18, 2017
Start Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Attendance: 30,425
Venue: Yankee Stadium III
Game Duration: 3:16
Yankees 2, Twins 1

Garcia struck out (SO) all three batters in the first inning and nine through four innings. Aaron Judge homered in the bottom of the first. Yankees 1, Twins 0 through four.

First two Twins singled in the 5th, one advancing to third on Judge's error. Where is Girardi? He had pulled Garcia for less reason in Garcia's previous start. The next Twin grounds out driving in an unearned run. Tie game 1-1. The next Twin grounds into a DP.

But wait, Garcia is still out there to pitch the 6th inning. Did Girardi go home? The Twin leading off lines out to deep LC. Still Girardi leaves Garcia in. Brian Dozier, the best Twin HR hitter, is allowed to bat against Garcia. Dozier grounds out to SS. Joe Mauer lines a single to RC. Finally, Girardi replaces Garcia with David Robertson. In the bottom of the 6th the Yankees score the winning run and Robertson gets the win. Garcia still has none as a Yankee.

Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Start Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Attendance: 30,218
Venue: Yankee Stadium III
Game Duration: 3:30
Yankees 5, Twins 2

Yanks led 3-2 through 4 innings. In the 5th Sabathia retired the Twins in order. Easy for Girardi to leave Sabathia in. Yanks increase the lead by one in the bottom of the 5th: 4-2.

Sixth inning: out, single, single. Go ahead run at the plate: Eduardo Escobar, who lines out to second. Girardi sticks with Sabathia. SB. IBB to Byron Buxton. Bases loaded. Lefty Eddie Rosario batting against lefty Sabathia. Rosario flies out to deep left, leaving the bases loaded.

Girardi replaces Sabathia to start the 7th inning with Chad Green. Sabathia gets the win (12-5).


So, how come there was not a comparable amount of media attention to Girardi backtracking completely from his actions and statements from the week before?

Saturday, September 16, 2017

200 Hits, OPS+ less than 100. Featuring 1962 NL MVP: Wills over Mays.

Qualified for Batting Average lead.

1Juan Pierre82204200628CHCNL16275069987321334032038810165820.292.330.388.717*8
2Doc Cramer84200194034BOSAL15071266194271215136291141335.303.340.384.724*897/H
3Matty Alou87201197031PITNL155718677972181473031844391911.297.329.356.685*8/H9
4Taylor Douthit87201193029STLNL154748664109411079360384204.303.364.426.790*8
5Juan Pierre89202200123COLNL1566836171082611255411291014164617.327.378.415.793*8/H
6Mark Grudzielanek93201199626MONNL153696657993446492638391310337.306.340.397.737*6
7Juan Pierre94204200325FLANL16274766810028714155135515396520.305.361.373.734*8/H
8Michael Young97204200326TEXAL160713666106339147236110313714132.306.339.446.785*4/6
9Ralph Garr97200197327ATLNL14869866894326115522564242123511.299.323.415.737*97
10Pinky Whitney98207193025PHINL14966060687415811740411153.342.383.465.849*5/H
11George Sisler98205192936BSNNL1546866296740827933174206.326.363.424.788*3
12Fresco Thompson98202192927PHINL148717623115413453753411616.324.398.419.817*4
13Maury Wills99208196229LADNL165759695130131064851157274710413.299.347.373.720*6
14Chick Fullis99200193332PHINL151698647913161453634591518.309.350.380.731*8/5

Number 13 on the list is Maury Wills, who was NL MVP in 1962 because he had 104 SB, which broke the long standing record of Ty Cobb of 96. In 1962 Willie Mays led NL with 49 Home Runs and 382 Total Bases; OPS+ 165. That's 65% above NL average. MVP points:

Voting Results
Batting StatsPitching Stats
1Maury WillsLAD209.08.075%6.016569513020864810451.299.347.373.720
2Willie MaysSFG202.07.072%10.5162621130189491411878.304.384.615.999
3Tommy DavisLAD175.03.063%6.0163665120230271531833.346.374.535.910
4Frank RobinsonCIN164.02.059%8.7162609134208391361876.342.421.6241.045

That type of vote is very unlikely today. Even so, some people are still in love with Batting Average and also with 200 Hit seasons. See the fascination with Ichiro Suzuki, USA career OPS+ 107, 7% above league average.