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Wednesday, October 26, 2016

30 home runs in 2016: impact on success and scoring.

38 players hit at least 30 Home Runs (HR) in 2016 . There are 30 teams but some teams, such as the Yankees, had no players with 30 HR. Here are the top ten:

Rk Player HR Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B RBI BB IBB SO HBP SH SF GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS Pos
1 Mark Trumbo 47 2016 30 BAL AL 159 667 613 94 157 27 1 108 51 1 170 3 0 0 14 2 0 .256 .316 .533 .850 *9D/37
2 Nelson Cruz 43 2016 35 SEA AL 155 667 589 96 169 27 1 105 62 5 159 9 0 7 15 2 0 .287 .360 .555 .915 *D9
3 Edwin Encarnacion 42 2016 33 TOR AL 160 702 601 99 158 34 0 127 87 3 138 5 0 8 22 2 0 .263 .357 .529 .886 *D3
4 Brian Dozier 42 2016 29 MIN AL 155 691 615 104 165 35 5 99 61 6 138 8 2 5 12 18 2 .268 .340 .546 .886 *4/HD
5 Khris Davis 42 2016 28 OAK AL 150 610 555 85 137 24 2 102 42 0 166 8 0 5 19 1 2 .247 .307 .524 .831 *7D/H
6 Chris Carter 41 2016 29 MIL NL 160 644 549 84 122 27 1 94 76 1 206 9 0 10 18 3 1 .222 .321 .499 .821 *3/HD
7 Nolan Arenado 41 2016 25 COL NL 160 696 618 116 182 35 6 133 68 10 103 2 0 8 17 2 3 .294 .362 .570 .932 *5
8 Todd Frazier 40 2016 30 CHW AL 158 666 590 89 133 21 0 98 64 1 163 4 1 7 11 15 5 .225 .302 .464 .767 *5/3D
9 Robinson Cano 39 2016 33 SEA AL 161 715 655 107 195 33 2 103 47 8 100 8 0 5 18 0 1 .298 .350 .533 .882 *4/D
10 Kris Bryant 39 2016 24 CHC NL 155 699 603 121 176 35 3 102 75 5 154 18 0 3 3 8 5 .292 .385 .554 .939 *579/386D
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/26/2016.

They represent ten different teams. Of the ten tournament teams, only three had a top ten HR hitter: Baltimore, Toronto, Chicago Cubs.

In 2015 only 20 players hit at least 30 HR, so the number almost doubled. In 2015 Baltimore also had the player with the most, also 47 HR, but he was Chris Davis, not Mark Trumbo. In 2015 Nelson Cruz was also second.

In 2014 the number of players with at least 30 HR was 11. Nelson Cruz was the only player with at least 40 HR: 40. Cruz was then with Baltimore.

In 2013: 14; Chris Davis 53.

So in the three most recent seasons the number has about doubled twice: 11, 20, 38.

In 2016, teams with multiple 30 HR players:
Three:
Baltimore: Trumbo, Davis, Machado
Boston: Ortiz, Betts, Ramirez
Seattle: Cruz, Cano, Kyle Seager

Toronto had the functional equivalent of three: Encarnacion and Donaldson, plus Jose Bautista (Joey Bats) who hit 22 in only 423 at bats (AB); 2010-2015: 54, 43, 27 (332 AB), 28 (452 AB), 35, 40. Bautista was healthy for the 2016 tournament and hit 2 HR in 33 AB.

In 2016 these teams had two 30 HR players: Chicago Cubs, Cleveland, Detroit, Milwaukee, New York Mets (plus Jay Bruce 33: 25 Reds, 8 Mets), Tampa, Texas.

Eleven of the thirty teams had multiple 30 HR players: six teams in top ten in scoring, three in bottom ten.

Seven of the ten tournament teams had multiple 30 HR players: Baltimore, Boston, Toronto, Cubs, Cleveland, Mets, Texas.

No tournament team had only one 30 HR player. These three tournament teams had zero 30 HR players: Giants, Dodgers, Washington.

Both teams in the finals had two 30 HR players:
Cubs: Kris Bryant (39), Anthony Rizzo (32)
Indians: Mike Napoli, Carlos Santana - both 34

Of the top ten in team HR, only St. Louis and Colorado had only one 30 HR player. The rest had multiple.

Of the top ten in team runs scored (Boston most: 878), only Washington did not have a 30 HR player. Six had multiple 30 HR players: Boston (3), Cubs, Cleveland, Seattle (3), Texas, Toronto. Three teams had one: Colorado, St. Louis, Arizona.

Of the ten teams scoring the fewest runs (680 or fewer: Yankees), three had two 30 HR players:
Tampa (Longoria, Brad Miller) 672
Milwaukee (Chris Carter, Braun) 671
Mets (Cespedes, Granderson) 671

Oakland had one: Khris Davis 42. Including the Yankees, none of the other six in the bottom ten had even one 30 HR player.

Bottom line: it sure helps to have multiple 30 HR players but teams need other things.

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