Monday, July 16, 2018

Yankees: 1927, 1961, 1998 keeping leads.

Best Yankee records sorted by winning "percentage":

WLT
1927110441.714
199811448.704
1939106451.702
1932107472.695
1961109531.673

This post will contrast three that are separated by these number of years: 34 and 37. Two featured these dominant players:
1927: Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig
1961: Mickey Mantle and Roger Maris.

1998 was a team of peers who set a new record for wins, soon broken by the Seattle Mariners.

Data below from baseball-reference.com: record when leading at the start of the inning:
1927 link
1961 link
1998 link

192719271927196119611961199819981998
InnWLW/GInnWLW/GInnWLW/G
100100100Inn192719611998
2437.8602411.97623910.7962.860.976.796
3589.8663543.9473557.8873.866.947.887
4728.9004614.93847011.8644.900.938.864
57110.8775776.92857511.8725.877.928.872
6758.9046845.9446859.9046.904.944.904
7847.9237834.9547917.9297.923.954.929
8894.9578854.9558931.9898.957.955.989
9991.9909871.98991021.9909.990.989.990
192719271927196119611961199819981998


Except for the 8th inning the 1961 Yankees dominate. But look specifically at the 9th inning. All three teams are almost dead even. Here are their best relief pitchers.

1927: Wilcy Moore 30 year old rookie:
ISplitWLW-L%ERAGGSGFCGSHOSVIPHRERHRBBIBBSOHBPBKWPBFWHIPSO9SO/W
1927 Totals197.7312.165012306112212.218565513619741148731.1573.11.21

1961: Luis Arroyo 34 year old from National League:
ISplitWLW-L%ERAGGSGFCGSHOSVIPHRERHRBBIBBSOHBPBKWPBFWHIPSO9SO/W
1961 Totals155.7502.19650540029119.08334295498873044841.1096.61.78

1998: Mariano Rivera 28 year old in his second season as closer:
SplitWLW-L%ERAGGSGFCGSHOSVIPHRERHRBBIBBSOHBPBKWPBFWHIPSO9SO/W
1998 Totals301.0001.9154049003661.14813133171361002461.0605.32.12

Rivera sustained his performance 15 more seasons. But ... the contrasts are stark for these three Yankee relief pitchers:

Innings: 212, 119, 61
Wins: 19, 15, 3  Moore 6-4 in 12 starts; 13-3 in relief.
Saves: 12, 29, 36

Wins + Saves: 31, 44, 39

Should Mariano Rivera be elected to the Hall of Fame? Tuesday, July 4, 2017

The Myth of the Closer
By David W. Smith
Presented July 29, 2016
SABR46, Miami, Florida

4. Performance of 9th inning pitchers is almost indistinguishable between closers and others.


5. Increased use 9th inning pitchers correlates with overall increase of relief pitchers.

6. Pitchers have had progressively shorter stints for over 100 years.

7. Current pattern of closer usage is not justified by their contributions to team wins.

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