Monday, January 28, 2019

Kill the Save.

A relief pitcher can get a Save only if his team wins. So how is that different than getting a Win? And if we are to kill the Win, doesn't killing the Save logically follow?

Funny how that seems to have eluded the enforcers of current conventional wisdom orthodoxy.

Mariano Rivera (652) and Trevor Hoffman (601) have been celebrated in consecutive years as Hall of Fame relief pitchers largely based on their high number of Saves. But what if they played for teams that did not provide nearly enough Save opportunities to accumulate those Save totals. What if Mariano Rivera played for a team that sucked?

He did in the 2002 first round in the tournament when his Yankees lost to the eventual champion, the Angels. Rivera was a non factor, even more than a cleanup hitter might be. At least the cleanup hitter would get four plate appearances per game. Whether they had any meaning is another matter but it's very likely that at least the first PA in each game would be in a competitive situation. Rivera saved game one but the Angels scored these runs in sweeping the next three games: 8, 9, 9. Rivera never pitched in any of those three losses.

Hall of Famers with the fewest innings pitched:

RkPlayerIPSVERA+FromToAgeGGSCGSHOGFWLW-L%HRERBBSOERAFIPK%BB%BAbipHRBFIBBHBPBKWPTm
1Bruce Sutter1042.03001361976198823-356610005126871.4898793703283098612.832.9420.3%7.3%.2757742518313837CHC-STL-ATL
2Trevor Hoffman1089.16011411993201025-4210350008566175.44984637834730711332.873.0825.8%7.0%.2661004388589049FLA-SDP-MIL
3Babe Ruth1221.141221914193319-3816314710717129446.6719744003094414882.282.8110.0%9.0%undef10489629425BOS-NYY
4Mariano Rivera1283.26522051995201325-43111510009528260.57799834031528611732.212.7623.0%5.6%.2657151034146313NYY
5Lee Smith1289.14781321980199722-3910226008027192.436113347543448612513.032.9323.2%9.0%.29989538810010447CHC-BOS-STL-NYY-BAL-CAL-CIN-MON
6Rollie Fingers1701.13411201968198521-389443742709114118.491147461554949212992.902.9618.7%7.1%.275123694210939740OAK-SDP-MIL
7Rich Gossage1809.13101261972199420-42100237160681124107.537149767060573215023.013.1820.0%9.8%.27611975079047563CHW-PIT-NYY-SDP-CHC-SFG-TEX-OAK-SEA
8Dizzy Dean1967.1311311930194720-37317230154267715083.644191977466145311633.023.2214.2%5.5%.28895817127512STL-CHC-SLB
9Hoyt Wilhelm2254.12281471952197229-49107052205651143122.540175777363277816102.523.0617.6%8.5%.25015091646162490NYG-STL-CLE-BAL-CHW-ATL-CAL-CHC-LAD
10Sandy Koufax2324.191311955196619-30397314137404416587.655175480671381723962.762.6925.2%8.6%.25920494974818787BRO-LAD

The six relief pitchers have at least 228 Saves.

Kill 20 wins? Tuesday, January 19, 2016

Kill the win. The idea has been bouncing around. The idea is that wins and therefore losses are meaningless stats...


Obviously some seasons a pitcher does very well and that is not reflected in his wins and losses.  See Felix Hernandez 13-12 in 2010 when he won the Cy Young award.  But basically, 20 game winners since 2000 have had good seasons at the least.
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Kill the Closer! Millions Yanks will pay: Chapman $17, Betances $3. Tuesday, February 21, 2017

Top Yankee management clings to an outdated idea that is in disrepute. It took long enough for the disrepute to kick in. After fuming about it, I finally wrote about the silliness of the closer role ... in 2006.

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Kill the Win rule requiring a starting pitcher go 5 innings. Saturday, September 23, 2017

Was that scoring rule created 100 years ago to prevent a starting pitcher from leaving early with a big lead and having a relief pitcher throw more innings and not get the win? If so, that reasoning has long since been turned around.

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Brian Cashman will pay Chapman and Britton $30 million for 140 innings. Monday, January 7, 2019

Brian Cashman has been general manager of the New York Yankees since February 1998. In other words, way too long...

So, after the closer role has been degraded, Brian Cashman has signed two one inning pitchers who might, if Cashman is lucky, average 70 innings each. That's 140 innings for $30 million for each of the next three seasons...

... 140 innings at $30 million ... $214,000 per inning for Chapman/Britton ...

Brian Cashman is a moron.

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