Why rent Juan Soto for 2024? Saturday, November 25, 2023
2023 Contract Status: Signed thru 2023, 1 yr/$23M (23)
Service Time (01/2023): 4.134 • Arb Eligible: 2024 • Free Agent: 2025
Agents: Boras Corporation
Career OPS+ 157. In 2023 Soto played all 162 games: OPS+ 158...
Juan Soto was paid $23,000,000 in 2023 and he is arbitration eligible for the 2024 season, after which he becomes a free agent.
So all this trade talk about a team acquiring Soto "cheap" for 2024 means that Soto will be a VERY expensive one year rental.
Why trade top prospects for a rental?
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Juan Soto may be paid $33,000,000 in 2023. Maybe send San Diego a broken bat to take them off the hook. But not prospects.
July 2, 2015: Signed by the Washington Nationals as an amateur free agent.
August 2, 2022: Traded by the Washington Nationals with Josh Bell to the San Diego Padres for Robert Hassell (minors), Jarlin Susana (minors), James Wood (minors), CJ Abrams, MacKenzie Gore and Luke Voit.
First game with San Diego Padres: Wednesday, August 3, 2022
Before that 9-1 victory San Diego Padres were 60-46. NL overall:
| Tm | W | L | GB | RS | RA | pythW-L% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 70 | 33 | .680 | -- | 543 | 338 | .704 |
| NYM | 65 | 38 | .631 | 5.0 | 483 | 385 | .602 |
| ATL | 63 | 41 | .606 | 7.5 | 499 | 407 | .592 |
| SDP | 60 | 46 | .566 | 11.5 | 469 | 425 | .545 |
| MIL | 57 | 46 | .553 | 13.0 | 477 | 439 | .538 |
| PHI | 55 | 48 | .534 | 15.0 | 477 | 431 | .546 |
| STL | 55 | 48 | .534 | 15.0 | 477 | 404 | .575 |
NL West division:
| Tm | W | L | GB | RS | RA | pythW-L% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 70 | 33 | .680 | -- | 543 | 338 | .704 |
| SDP | 60 | 46 | .566 | 11.5 | 469 | 425 | .545 |
| SFG | 51 | 53 | .490 | 19.5 | 478 | 457 | .521 |
| ARI | 46 | 57 | .447 | 24.0 | 437 | 470 | .467 |
| COL | 46 | 60 | .434 | 25.5 | 474 | 569 | .41 |
End of 2022 season:
Record: 89-73-0, Finished 2nd in NL_West
Pythagorean W-L: 86-76, 705 Runs, 660 Runs Allowed
Postseason:
Lost NL Championship Series (4-1) to Philadelphia Phillies
Won NL Division Series (3-1) over Los Angeles Dodgers
Won NL Wild Card Series (2-1) over New York Mets
2022:
With Soto for the final 56 games of 2022, SD played about .500 ball. But SD did well in the 2022 tournament.
2023:
Record: 82-80-0, 3rd place in NL_West
Pythagorean W-L: 92-70, 752 Runs, 648 Runs Allowed
With Soto for the entire 2023 season, SD scored 47 more runs but won ten fewer games than expected and did not qualify for the tournament.
Here's Soto OPS for SD in the 2022 tournament:
NLWC beat Mets .718
NLDS beat Dodgers .484
NLCS lost to Phillies 4-1 .944; 2 HR
Soto homered in the final two games against the Phillies, both losses.
In game four Soto hit a two run homer in the fifth to break a 4-4 tie. SD lost 10-6.
In game 5 after the Phillies took a 2-0 lead in the bottom of the 3rd, Soto homered in the top of the 4th: 2-1. Phillies eliminated SD by the score 4-3 and won the series 4 games to 1.
Previous post:
Yankee lineups 2009 v. 2023. 103 wins and World Series champs v. 82 wins. Sunday, December 3, 2023
Aaron Judge played only 106 games so his rate stats should be viewed with that in mind.
OPS+:
2023: Judge 175 Torres 118 ... 7 of 9 under 100 ... Oswaldo Cabrera 58
2009: Only Melky Cabrera lower than OPS+ 100: 93.
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2023 Yankees: 7 of 9 bat righty. Soto's lefty bat would be a welcome addition.
2023 SD lineup:
Former Yankee is the catcher. How about that? Soto is the best hitter and he led the team in several stats. But he's not alone. 6 of 9 have OPS+ greater than 109. OPS+ 100 is league average.
So how much would Soto's lefty bat help the righty Yankee lineup that has only 2 of 9 with OPS+ greater than league average? Soto would make it 3 of 9. Worth $33,000,000? And prospects?
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