Monday, May 26, 2025

Hornsby (twice), Cobb, Heilmann, Terry lose .400 Batting Average when adding Sacrifice Flies to At Bats.

Hang in there for a bunch of preliminary stuff. It's worth it.

https://stathead.com/tiny/DcBEU

For single seasons, from 1903 to 2024, Playing in the AL or NL, in the regular season, requiring Batting Average >= .400 and At Bats >= 400, sorted by descending Sacrifice Hits.

Provided by Stathead.comFound with Stathead. See Full Results.
Generated 5/23/2025.

Why sorted by Sacrifice Hits (SH). And why are there no values for Sacrifice Flies (SF)? From the Glossary:

SH -- Sacrifice Hits (Sacrifice Bunts)
BA -- Hits/At Bats
For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played
Bold indicates highest BA using current stats
AB -- At Bats

PA -- Plate Appearances
When available, we use actual plate appearances from play-by-play game accounts
Otherwise estimated using AB + BB + HBP + SF + SH,
which excludes catcher interferences.
When this color click for a summary of each PA.

OBP -- (H + BB + HBP)/(At Bats + BB + HBP + SF)
For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played

_________________

SH included SF. This post will break out SF and add them to AB and recompute BA.

Rogers Hornsby .400 Batting Averages impacted if Sacrifice Flies were added to his At Bats.  Monday, May 12, 2025

Rogers Hornsby famously had:

BA >= .400 in 3 of 4 years (1922-1925) AND

BA >= .400 cumulative 1921-1925...


ABHtheBA
2,6791,078.40238895


Batting Average (BA): Ted Williams percent above league .406 v. .388 considering SF.  Sunday, January 23, 2022

https://stathead.com/tiny/fMazJ

Rogers Hornsby: 35 Sacrifice Flies in 1921-1925

1,078/(2,679+35)=.39719970523

Let's break down those 35 SF per year.

PlayerYearBAAgePAABHtheBASFH/(AB+SF)
Rogers Hornsby1921.39725674592235.396959469.39101498
Rogers Hornsby1922.40126704623250.401284119.39556962
Rogers Hornsby1923.38427487424163.384433963.38173302
Rogers Hornsby1924.42428642536227.423507465.41959335
Rogers Hornsby1925.40329606504203.402777789.39571150
PlayerYearBAAgePAABHtheBASFH/(AB+SF)
TotalTot3,1132,6791,078.4023889535.39719971

Adding in his 35 SF changes Hornsby's cululative BA from .402 to .397.

And instead of having three .400 BA in four years Hornsby has only one.

Doing this puts Hornsby on equal footing with Ted Williams when Williams had a .406 BA in 1941 when SF were lumped into At Bats (AB). Otherwise Williams would have had BA .413.

Batting Average: adding Sacrifice Flies to At Bats 1954-2024 in individual seasons.  Monday, May 12, 2025

__________________________

Let's add SF to AB for all the .400 BA and see the difference.

Ruth & Gehrig had Sacrifice Flies? Who knew? Read how SF impacted their Batting Averages.  Tuesday, May 13, 2025

I think that the Sacrifice Fly is the stupidest scoring rule of any applied frequently. It should be eliminated and past data normalized to reflect consistency...


The Strange Story of the Sacrifice Fly
What did Ted Williams really hit in 1941?
by John Thorn  Dec 12, 2019


I knew, from years of editing Total Baseball, that sacrifice flies were counted in 1908–1930 and in 1939 but inseparably from sacrifice hits; thus a batter who advanced a runner to any base while being retired himself would be spared an at bat. For purposes of his batting average his sacrifice would be chalked up as a non-event, like a walk...


For 1940–1953, however (as in the years 1931–1938) sacrifice flies were counted as outs, even though they registered as RBIs. Ever since 1954 sac flies were once again accounted in batting average as non-appearances (like walks) and as RBIs...


So that leaves us wondering about 1941 in particular, when Ted Williams hit .406 with no sacrifice bunts but an unknown number of sac flies...

It turns out that Williams had eight sacrifice flies in 1941 over seven games (in one game he had two). [See Addendum below.] Had these been counted as non-appearances, instead of outs, his season’s at bats would have been diminished from 456 to 448 — and his batting average would have been not .406 (0.40570175438) but instead .413 (0.41294642857)...

_______________________

Finding their SF turns out to be pretty easy.


https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/ruthba01.shtml


Then click Finders & Advanced Stats, then Event Finder.


Set the Seasons to all of Ruth's: 1914-1935.


Then simply pick Event Type: Sacrifice Flies.


Hit the button for Get Results.

Babe Ruth: 80 Sacrifice Flies in 1914-1935

___________________________

Ted Williams in 1941 has the only .400 BA that did not exclude SF from his AB when figuring BA. We'll leave Williams alone and change the other eleven.

Batting Average (BA): Hits/AB. Instead: Hits/(AB+SF).

Event finder will be used for individual batters, other than Williams, who had .400 BA. This will be used to find SF for seasons in which it was not shown as a stat separate from SH.

+++++++++++++++++

Joe Jackson

https://stathead.com/baseball/event_finder.cgi?request=1&player_id=jacksjo01&year_min=1908&event=modSF&type=b

Joe Jackson: 54 Sacrifice Flies in 1908-1920

Ty Cobb

https://stathead.com/baseball/event_finder.cgi?request=1&player_id=cobbty01&year_min=1905&event=modSF&type=b

Ty Cobb: 91 Sacrifice Flies in 1905-1928

George Sisler

https://stathead.com/baseball/event_finder.cgi?request=1&player_id=sislege01&year_min=1915&event=modSF&type=b

George Sisler: 103 Sacrifice Flies in 1915-1930

Rogers Hornsby

https://stathead.com/baseball/event_finder.cgi?request=1&player_id=hornsro01&year_min=1915&event=modSF&type=b

Rogers Hornsby: 118 Sacrifice Flies in 1915-1937

Harry Heilmann

https://stathead.com/baseball/event_finder.cgi?request=1&player_id=heilmha01&year_min=1914&event=modSF&type=b

Harry Heilmann: 133 Sacrifice Flies in 1914-1932

Bill Terry

https://stathead.com/baseball/event_finder.cgi?request=1&player_id=terrybi01&year_min=1923&event=modSF&type=b

Bill Terry: 70 Sacrifice Flies in 1923-1936

Ted Williams

https://stathead.com/baseball/event_finder.cgi?request=1&player_id=willite01&year_min=1939&event=modSF&type=b

Ted Williams: 23 Sacrifice Flies in 1939-1960

_____________________

There is no data for 1911, so Cobb and Jackson are not changed, nor is Williams as mentioned.

Sacrifice Hits (SH) = Sacrifice Flies (SF) + Sacrifice Bunts (Sbunt)

Dif: shows when they don't add up. If anything, the batter could have SF + Dif but we don't know.

Averages are recomputed to have enough decimal places to differentiate things like three .401 BA.

The Dif and Dif% at the right is an additional perspective that had been used in recent posts. Dif: batter BA - League BA. Among these seasons, Cobb in 1912 had the biggest %Dif: 53.83%.

Batting Average: adding Sacrifice Flies to At Bats 1954-2024 in individual seasons.  Monday, May 12, 2025

PlayerYearBAABAgeTeamLgPAHtheBASHSFSbuntDifH/(AB+SF)Lg BADif%Dif
Ty Cobb1911.41959224DETAL656248.41891911.273109.13494749.41%
Joe Jackson1911.40857123CLEAL641233.4080566.273109.13557049.64%
Ty Cobb1912.40955325DETAL610226.4086808530.405018.264761.14252953.83%
George Sisler1920.40763127SLBAL692257.40729013760.402821.283431.11771041.53%
Ty Cobb1922.40152635DETAL613211.40114127716-4.395872.284519.11676541.04%
George Sisler1922.42058629SLBAL655246.41979516123-1.411371.284519.11815341.53%
Rogers Hornsby1922.40162326STLNL704250.40128415960.395570.292195.12760043.67%
Harry Heilmann1923.40352428DETAL627211.4026722396-8.395872.282511.12016042.53%
Rogers Hornsby1924.42453628STLNL642227.4235071356-2.419593.282931.14057749.69%
Rogers Hornsby1925.40350429STLNL606203.4027781696-1.395712.291537.11124038.16%
Bill Terry1930.40163331NYGNL710254.40126419171-1.390769.303481.09778332.22%
Ted Williams1941.40645622BOSAL606185.4057020.276916.12878646.51%

Here's a breakdown of Plate Appearances (PA):

PA = AB + BB + HBP + SH (SF when available and SH only has bunts)

PlayerYearBAABBBHBPSHthePADif
Ty Cobb1911.41959244811655-1
Joe Jackson1911.40857156866410
Ty Cobb1912.4095534358609-1
George Sisler1920.407631462136920
Ty Cobb1922.40152655427612-1
George Sisler1922.42058649316654-1
Rogers Hornsby1922.401623651157040
Harry Heilmann1923.40352474523626-1
Rogers Hornsby1924.42453689213640-2
Rogers Hornsby1925.40350483216605-1
Bill Terry1930.401633571197100
Ted Williams1941.406456147306060

PA come out pretty close, especially for seasons so far back.

Bottom line: if SF are added to AB in figuring BA, FIVE of the nine seasons which had SF applied: BA drops below .400: Hornsby (1922 & 1925), Cobb (1922), Heilmann, Terry.

Here's the impact on their career BA:

PlayerSFHABBAtheBAH/(AB+SF)Dif%DifFirstLastPlayer
Ty Cobb914,18911,440.366.366171.363282.0028900.79%19051928Ty Cobb
Joe Jackson541,7724,981.356.355752.351936.0038151.07%19081920Joe Jackson
Harry Heilmann1332,6607,787.342.341595.335859.0057361.68%19141932Harry Heilmann
George Sisler1032,8128,267.340.340148.335962.0041861.23%19151930George Sisler
Rogers Hornsby1182,9308,173.358.358497.353395.0051021.42%19151937Rogers Hornsby
Bill Terry702,1936,428.341.341164.337488.0036751.08%19231936Bill Terry
Ted Williams232,6547,706.344.344407.343382.0010250.30%19391960Ted Williams

***   The End   ***

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