Thursday, September 28, 2017

35 Home Run rookies: 4 of 10 never hit more.

Obviously, excluding the two 2017 rookies who have hit at least 35 Home Runs (HR), 4 of their 10 predecessors never hit more.

Click link to view all data.

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LLL
RkPlayerHRABAB/HRYearAgeTmLgHRABAB/HRDif%DifYearBAOBPSLGOPSLast
1Aaron Judge5053210.64201725NYYAL3,09080,67526.1115.4759.25%2017.284.421.6221.043Judge
2Mark McGwire4955711.37198723OAKAL2,63477,81929.5418.1861.52%1987.289.370.618.987McGwire
3Cody Bellinger3946912.03201721LADNL2,87180,23327.9515.9256.97%2017.269.353.588.942Bellinger
4Frank Robinson3857215.05195620CINNL1,21941,84934.3319.2856.15%1956.290.379.558.936Robinson
5Wally Berger3855514.61193024BSNNL89243,69348.9834.3870.18%1930.310.375.614.990Berger
6Albert Pujols3759015.95200121STLNL2,95288,10029.8413.9046.57%2001.329.403.6101.013Pujols
7Al Rosen3755414.97195026CLEAL97342,40743.5828.6165.65%1950.287.405.543.948Rosen
8Jose Abreu3655615.44201427CHWAL2,16183,12338.4723.0259.85%2014.317.383.581.964Abreu
9Mike Piazza3554715.63199324LADNL1,95677,48939.6223.9960.55%1993.318.370.561.932Piazza
10Ron Kittle3552014.86198325CHWAL1,90377,82140.8926.0463.67%1983.254.314.504.818Kittle
11Rudy York3537510.71193723DETAL80643,30353.7343.0180.06%1937.307.375.6511.026York
12Hal Trosky3562517.86193421CLEAL68842,92962.4044.5471.38%1934.330.388.598.987Trosky
Min37510.64Min26.1113.9046.57%Min.254.314.504.818Min
Max62517.86Max62.4044.5480.06%Max.330.421.6511.043Max

The square is around the HR number that was never exceeded. The percent difference uses the league average for that year as the base. Obviously, the league average would be more accurate without pitchers batting in the National League and in the American League before 1972. But the percent difference helps provide an additional means of comparing.

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MaxMaxMaxMaxCarCarCar
LastHRABAB/HRYearHRABAB/HRLastRoYHoFLast
Judge5053210.6420175461411.37JudgeJudge
McGwire705097.2719985836,28710.78McGwireYMcGwire
Bellinger3946912.0320173946912.03BellingerBellinger
Robinson4957611.76196658610,00617.08RobinsonYYRobinson
Berger3855514.6119302425,16321.33BergerNABerger
Pujols4953510.9220066149,71215.82PujolsYPujols
Rosen4359913.9319531923,72519.40RosenRosen
Abreu3655615.4420141242,39519.31AbrreuYAbreu
Piazza4053413.3519994276,91116.19PiazzaYYPiazza
Kittle3552014.8619831762,70815.39KittleYKittle
York3537510.7119372775,89121.27YorkNAYork
Trosky4262914.9819362285,16122.64TroskyNATrosky
Min357.273910.78MinMin
Max7015.4461422.64MaxMax

Rookie of the Year (RoY) award did not exist in the 1930s, so NA represents that. Rudy York is interesting. His HR start is as dynamic as that of any of these dozen players, yet he never hit more. What will Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger do in the future?

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